By Manny Mogato, News 5 editor-at-large
(July 19, 2022) – The Philippines must raise its defense budget for 2023 to about 2 percent of the country’s $394.09 billion gross domestic product to be able build a credible defense posture and assert its maritime claims in the South China Sea, a security expert said.
De la Salle University professor Renato de Castro, international relations and security percent, said the Philippines will be able to afford the expensive military capability upgrade under its modernization program’s 3rd horizon if the annual defense spending will be increased to almost 450 billion pesos in 2023.
In 2022, Congress allocated only 222 billion pesos or roughly $4.39 billion on defense, including 25 billion pesos in the modernization fund. The bulk of the defense spending went to salaries and allowances of the 150,000 members of the Armed Forces and the pension of retired soldiers and veterans.
The administration of President Ferdinand Marcos Jr. is set to submit his first budget to Congress when it reopens next week. Marcos has to double the defense budget to boost the modernization program. Last year, under Duterte, the police had bigger budget than the military.
“It’s time for the Filipinos to pay the cost of external defense by increasing the share of the defense budget by 2 percent,” de Castro told an international security forum hosted by the Albert del Rosario Institute (ADRI) in a Makati hotel, adding that many countries in Europe have been doing it already.
Germany, France and other western European states have started ramping up defense spending after Russia invaded Ukraine in late February. Sweden and Finland have made moves to join the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) as an insurance against Russian aggression,
In Asia, China’s aggressive behavior in the South China Sea has forced many smaller states in the region to modernize their armed forces, especially Taiwan, Vietnam, Indonesia, Malaysia, Singapore and Thailand.
The Philippines under two former presidents – Benigno Aquino and Rodrigo Duterte – had embarked on ambitious capability upgrade, acquired a squadron of light fighters FA-50s, T-129 attack helicopters, two guided-missile frigates, eight missile-capable fast attack interdiction crafts and two corvettes and six Offshore Patrol vessels.
Under horizon 3, the military planned to acquired a squadron of multi-role fighters, two diesel-electric submarines, anti-air and anti-ship missiles and long-ranger patrol planes to improve maritime domain awareness in the disputed waters.
China claims almost the entire South China Sea. Brunei. Malaysia, the Philippines, Taiwan and Vietnam also have conflicting claims on the strategic waterway where more than $3 trillion seaborne-trade passes every year.
De Castro also suggested the military should start focusing on external and territorial defense and leave the counter-insurgency operations to the Philippine National Police.
“Diplomacy has to work with military capability,” de Castro said but the country could rely on allies and security partners, like the United States, Australia and Japan to strengthen external defense capabilities through training, exercises and equipment.
Washington and Tokyo promised to transfer military equipment that could enhance the military capability to resist Chinese aggression in the West Philippine Sea. The US has unveiled a $60 million maritime security initiative (MSI) to help littoral states in the South China Sea develop maritime domain awareness. The US has donated several ScanEagle drones and plane mounted surveillance and reconnaissance equipment.
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